Kyle Stowers, BAL A memorable first major league home run: down one run with two outs in the ninth against Liam Hendricks, Stowers hit a foul popup that Adam Engel dropped. Therefore, we dont want Pham in mixed leagues except as a hole-filler if he happens to be playing. Doesnt turn 26 until May, but no progress at all in 1675 PAs. It may not be so in September, or July. Anyway, Bleday is gone to Oakland, but with no speed to speak of, hes going nowhere until he dramatically reduces his 28.2% Ks. Bad year and now 33, so please be careful. These rankings take a more points-based lean, to mirror our standard game, but since they project over a long range, they do bring into consideration player values over a broader set of formats. PFA, Oscar Mercado, STL Bouncing around after the Tribe of Guardians gave him several chances. This page, however, is for fantasy managers who need to forecast deep into the future. At his best, he's probably still the best player in Fantasy Baseball, and all the baggage, while frustrating, gives you a chance to secure him at some sort of discount. His skills are stable all over the place, and he added 10 SBs to his game and was only caught once. This may be of mere academic interest however, as Durans many, and costly, misplays in the outfield are what is keeping him in the minors. Prev Next . Plays at age 26 so all hope is not lost worth a shot as an OF5 in mixed leagues. This is a body that has been through the wars. Bid your faves to the moon if you like, just dont pay $10 for Joey Wendle. Alex Kirilloff, MIN Obliterated Triple-A in 35 games, made selectivity strides in the majors, but they didnt help his walks or his Ks and he lost power. Maybe it can still happen with Adell, clearly hes got tools, but he continues to lack skills, including skill in the outfield, which doesnt help his chances. I realize that Coors Field makes hitters look worse on the road than they really are, but Hilliards 39% career road Ks can come way down and still hurt. $9, Riley Greene, DET Sweet lefty swing but looked tentative too often. 1 pick. $7, Rafael Ortega, NYY Good bench guy for a good team. Good RBI slot though. Also qualifies at third base. Jake McCarthy, ARI Elite speed by every metric, developing power, and he more than held his own in the majors, including 21.5% Ks. That would be good enough on most teams but the Cardinals may disagree and they are loaded anyway so loaded that a trade or even two is likely. He did play better later. and play-by-play data provided by Sports Info Solutions. His OPS when ahead in the count was .971, which is not much better than the MLB average by the way, but when behind in the count it was a beneath abysmal .284. Cody Bellinger, CHC Racking whats left of my brain trying to think of another in-his-prime MVP who so completely tanked. Therefore, I want no part of Straw in an AL league. I never imagined back when I first started making this list that so many closers would be on it someday, but saves have come to be in such high demand that even a markup to Round 6 would represent an obvious discount for the best and second-best closer (see below). 1 overall pick in 2023. No shifts will get him over .200 with ease, although .215 still sucks. I'd rather not dedicate my first-round pick to a pitcher, but if you presume all the other projected first-rounders are kept (as I recommend), then you can't afford to fritter away a guy who could go on a multi-year run as the presumed No. If I had to pick first, Id take Rodrguez, because I think right now hes the best five-cat hitter of the bunch. Fantasy Baseball There is still some risk that he starts the year in Triple-A, though that is covered by a fair draft price. PFA, Clint Coulter, SF If Joey Bart doesnt cut it a pretty likely scenario the door opens for Coulter and/or Austin Wynns, or (pretty likely) a player to be named later. Also qualifies at second base, plus 17 games at shortstop. Jordan Lawlar | SS, ARI | 670 ADP The no. Low price for 21 SBs but I want Plate Appearances, and the Ms are looking to take them away from Dylan Moore. It is expected that that management will come via shortened starts as opposed to a full-on shutdown late in the season. It is worth familiarizing yourself with them so you are ready to bid on the ones who arent draftable in your particular league. Whether they play him every day is another matter. But this is nonetheless a nice discount for at worst a top-25 arm. PFA, Colton Cowser, BAL Sweet lefty swing with pop and some speed, but strikeouts rose alarmingly at higher levels and Cowser has consequently taken a dive on prospect lists. Yes, Dalton Del. Both his Sprint Speed (78th%) and SB time to second base (3.65 seconds) suggest that 30 bags are in reach, but these things are will rather than skill. Bader is perfectly capable of stealing 30 bases, indeed I might expect it if he hit seventh, but then he has yet to play a full season. It will surge into the low-100s and possibly even the Top 100 if he tears up the Grapefruit League and wins a roster spot before draft season is over. Fair to say his days as a reliever are over after a year in which he proved to be the hardest-to-hit pitcher in baseball, which was a constant throughout his minor-league career as well. But he's a reliable slugger at a time when those are becoming harder to find. Christopher Morel, CHC Also qualifies at second base, with 18 games at third base and 13 at shortstop. Ranking players for dynasty leagues is complicated. More value in mono leagues if he stays healthy, which he hasnt since 2018. Various injuries have taken him a down a couple of pegs to an ADP of 89, and I sure like the idea of having two outfielders at that point. And what better way to get some last-minute prep ahead of Opening Day than with our analysts' overall top-250 draft rankings! Injury fears I guess, but Bryant shows no rate declines except in his strikeouts, which were an easy career best 14.9%. Hard hits, barrels and average EV are all quite strong too, but his hacking ways (.21 Eye Ratio) cast heavy doubt on his chance to sustain. It added up to better than average his first time around, nothing shining but nothing glaring. I keep hearing hes got to hit the ball harder to make it, which is flat wrong. Reserve B, Pavin Smith, AZ Disappointing but hes not giving up, slashing .292/.462/.458 in the Dominican Winter League. The more I try to explain it, the deeper we sink into this quagmire, so let's just get on with the list. A sneaky silver lining if Brown does spend time in the bullpen is that he will likely garner high leverage opportunities in a multi-inning relief role, which could lead to a handful of wins and keep him fantasy viable while he awaits his chance in the rotation. Painter wont turn 20 until April 1 so if he breaks camp with the club, he could be the first teenager to throw a pitch in the majors since 2016 (Julio Uras) and just the third since 1984 (Flix Hernndez) when Dwight Gooden made his magical debut and Jose Rijo gave the Yankees a decent 62 innings of work (3.94 FIP). $9. It means he may have genuinely gone undrafted even in keeper leagues, making for a potential long-term discount. Charlie Blackmon, COL Well, duh, he exercised his $18M option. Eric Cross' Positional 2022 Fantasy Baseball Rankings Catcher Showing 1 to 40 of 40 entries The catcher position has notoriously been a headache for fantasy managers over the years. 6 starter, there is already concern about Lance McCullers Jr.s health as of mid-February. The deeper you look, the less there is here, a total hacker who has learned nothing in 11 years, and is a liability in the field. Suzuki had some trouble with slower stuff, but nothing fatal and hes hardly unique. Im betting on a subpar season, even a return to utility status. Here are my top 300 heading into the 2022 fantasy baseball season. After 130 innings between the minors and majors last year, theres no reason he cant put up a full workload this year, especially with no one pushing him out of the rotation. If I knew the 14 SBs would repeat, hed rank higher because otherwise Springer is money to do what he does. $18, Oscar Gonzalez, CLE Free-swinger with power, so 19.6% Ks are a pleasant surprise, improving as he went, too. $6, Jurickson Profar, FA This is his 10th season and he plays it at age 30, but he has yet to stabilize really anything. Anyway, Id like to see what Sheets can do playing every day after a winter of pitch recognition training. Nice floor, high ceiling, more appeal in mixed leagues. PFA, Niko Goodrum, BOS From either side, all he can hit are pitches middle middle. It also keeps the scope of my hate limited no new hates just established ones all to the good. $3, Robbie Grossman, TEX Lifetime .790 OPS vs. lefties probably dictates his role. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. Dynasty leagues come in all shapes and sizes, but they can be a lot of fun for die-hard fantasy baseball players. He had all of 11 IP at Double-A, though, and while traditional prospect timelines have gone by the wayside in recent years, Id still be surprised to see him get more than a late-season call-up. $8. The hit tool, however, leaves a lot to be desired and his 2022 explosion was the first time he had hit well since Rookie ball back in 2017. In this space, I rank players for the next five-plus seasons, serving as an effective price guide for those seeking to improve rosters during the offseason or planning to start a dynasty league from scratch beginning in 2023. PFA, Tucupita Marcano, PIT Good contact in the minors, 11% Ks all through, but little power and when he tried to steal bases they threw him out 40% of the time. Shows flashes of power and 85th% speed. Reserve B. Kyle Garlick, MIN Too much nothing, not enough all. There hes definitely worth an OF4 slot assuming hes healthy going in. Before counting one dollar, he received admiration and honor, which are worth more than money to many, many human beings. This really shouldnt be. A big key for the Three True Outcomes guys is opposite field power, which Stowers has. Early drafters dont seem to be worried and thats fine, but should Soto be taken ahead of Yordan Alvarez or Vlad Jr.? Fantasy Baseball: Top 50 keepers for 2023 based on last year's average draft position (ADP) Rankings for leagues that make you forfeit something to keep a player By Scott White Dec 21, 2022. Moving to a bandbox (what exactly is a bandbox, anyway? One of the 2022 Fantasy baseball breakouts the model is all over: Rangers closer Joe Barlow. Im taking the gamble before the price jumps. Actually, I like having players I hate, as long as the price is right, of course. Conner Capel, OAK It used to be automatic that when a prospect looked great late for a bad team, he had a job going into the next year. (YES!) $13. To get. The latter almost works against him for 2023, though, as hes buried on the list of candidates right now and still must figure out his changeup. $2, I suppose. You cant bank on a full season but, at his current ADP of 145, you dont have to. DL Hall | LHP, BAL | 463 ADP The Os are giving him a shot at the rotation though his command profile still screams reliever! to me. You'll find steeper discounts than this, but Varsho is a rare specimen as a catcher who gets everyday at-bats (because he's actually an outfielder) and also steals bases. This is 1980s style, an extreme green light for 2023. Still young enough at 25, but their offseason moves indicate that the Fish are trying to take away PAs. Look what I found: Bubba Thompson at 31. Of course, he can do it again, and more, and its encouraging that while with the Astros he was a 61% base stealer with the Blue Jays hes at 86%. Even with better hitters behind him which is no sure thing hell have trouble topping 85. And he plays a mean rocknroll guitar. $320 cap, so I'm way under as is and . Yes hes a fly-ball hitter, but 21% Ks are not bad at all these days. Perhaps a righty Daniel Murphy type. $7, Wil Myers, CIN Still dangerous against a lefty and still a good glove in right field. But Im still not coughing up in a league where finding decent replacement PAs is a problem. We publish player rankings by position throughout January - with projections and thoughts next to each player. His injuries have been more odd than indicative of anything. He made 14 of his 17 starts in Triple-A and posted a 2.20 ERA, 0.93 WHIP, 28 K-BB%, and mightve made his big league debut had he not missed three months. $1 if you must. Juan Soto, SD Swung at just 59.1% of the strikes he saw, ranking 127th out of 130 qualifying hitters. Its therapeutic. Here's a look at our latest dynasty. lvarez was great in 112 games at Double- and Triple-A last year (27 HR, .885 OPS), but I have a general aversion to rookie catchers (non-Adley class) to begin with and Im not sure where the playing time is right now. Eric Karabell and Tristan H. Cockcroft debate who should be the first pitcher taken off the board in 2023 fantasy baseball drafts. Minor league slash of .258/.328/.415 with a few steals is not impressive, but decent 17.4% Ks and more than a third of his hits were for extra bases. 10 fantasy baseball bold predictions: Hunter Renfroe, Joe Musgrove and more by Al Melchior (3/30). $38, Yordan Alvarez, HOU All this and almost no platoon split. Ten years in the league and hes never played a full season. $33, three more in OBP leagues, and of course in points leagues where a walk is a point.. Kyle Tucker, HOU Dusty Baker started him off batting sixth and eventually promoted him to fifth. $21. Tough call, but I think hes worth a little reach in mixed leagues, certainly after 200 players are gone. Also qualifies at first base, and I wont be ashamed to use him there. From a team perspective it probably makes sense. Rodriguez comes into spring training with a great chance to make the rotation, though his workload will be managed. He has the same support issues as Waldichuk, but if he locks in a spot out of spring, theres 30+ start upside. Hes a lifetime .254 hitter. Colas stateside debut saw him rip through High- and Double-A, capped with a nice week a Triple-A. Turns 33 in April. His SB time to second base was Top 10. Burleson is perhaps more likely to start with the big club. Tied for second at 26 are Tommy Edman, Ronald Acua and Cedric Mullins. First of all, if there were a starting pitcher who was a clear cut above the rest, he should be the No. Eric Karabell makes bold fantasy-relevant predictions for each of the 15 National League teams. Marsh is a strict platoon player until proven otherwise, with a lifetime .486 OPS against lefties. The 6-foot-7, 215-pound righty had a brilliant three-level season and didnt miss a beat with each promotion, culminating with a 2.54 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, and 32% K-BB in 28 innings at Double-A. $39, one less in OBP leagues. The walks dont compensate when you hit .183 for three years. The oft-injured 25-year-old (as of Feb. 1) is nonetheless one of the best future assets at second base, bringing power and speed along with an improving bat-to-ball profile, which makes him worth keeping even if the discount is a modest one. Started slowly, slowly got nice and hot (1.017 OPS in August), then cooled rapidly. 1 overall discussion. I wouldn't fault you for opting for up-and-comers like Jesus Luzardo, Hunter Greene or Nick Lodolo instead, but seeing as longevity is something you can't really presume at starting pitcher, I'm going with the guy likely to matter more in 2023. Read more of our articles here. His fly ball lean leaves his susceptible to the long ball (1.5 HR/9 in 299 MiLB IP), which he counters with exemplary strikeout stuff (31% K, 17% SwStr) and great control (5%). Out of Seattle and into lefty-friendly Milwaukee. He uses the whole field and his 20.7% Ks are probably going to improve playing every day. Great defense keeps him in the league, but he played better for Tampa and still his OPS was .660. PFA, Miguel Andjar, PIT Kinda strange that he has the Quad-A rep but his major league OPS is .749 and his minor league OPS is .750. For those in re-draft/single-year leagues, my points-league rankings for 2023 alone can be found here. Reserve B, Trevor Larnach, MIN Big guy, first-rounder in 2018, but his minor league line of .292/.374/.450 is that of a doubles hitter. Tyler Naquin MIL They come, they go. Harris seems to have a problem recognizing balls and strikes, swinging at too many balls and not enough strikes. 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