Read More, With the Kentucky Derby moved to Sept. 5, well have to be creative with the Derby Dozen, although as of now the major preps will still be run, including all three grade 1 preps -- the Curlin Florida Derby, Santa Anita Derby, and Arkansas Derby. Secretariat.com 2023. It all comes down to this: Essential Quality is an undefeated champion who is the most logical No. This is not the Derby you want a one-dimensional horse with so many tactical speed horses in there. He will get another chance in Saturdays Arkansas Derby and certainly is still sharp, working five furlongs in company in 1:00 1/5, galloping out six furlongs in 1:13 2/5. It was no surprise to see a brilliant but lightly raced and untested PREVALENCE struggle on that deep track in the Wood. In the 22 years Ive been doing Derby Dozen and Derby Rankings I have never had a tougher time deciding who to put No. And now we come to the most intriguing horse in the race and the one I feel you have to place a win bet on just so he doesnt jump up and bite you in your wallet as so many of his compatriots have done in major races all over the world. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. 1972 Horse of the Year A Prelude to Greatness, The Forgotten Horse Who Nearly Saved The Meadow, Memories, Big Red, and Two Kids from Brooklyn, 2022 Kentucky Derby Handicapping Analysis. Like with Smile Happy he was passed in the stretch in his final Derby prep, and by a stablemate who had only one six-furlong maiden race under him. I just cant rank him above the top 4. He may be more of a Belmont or even Travers horse, but I still feel with a good trip he can make his presence felt in the Derby. 1 spot as we head into the makeshift spring schedule beginning with the Matt Winn Stakes (G3) May 23. But Highly Motivated wouldnt quit. He was dismissed at 32-1 odds in Churchill Downs final Kentucky Derby Future Wager pool, perhaps an indication he could similarly fall out of betting favor on Derby Day. Read More, 1 Tiz the Law Barclay Tagg Constitution Tizfiz, by Tiznow Just when you thought Tiz the Law was shifting his gears to neutral following the Curlin Florida Derby (G1), breezing an easy :52 4/5 half-mile, he shifts back into drive with a sharp 1:00 3/5 work for five furlongs. His owner Charlotte Weber is old school and a true sportswoman and next year it will be 40 years since she finished second in the Derby with longshot Laser Light. Nothing wrong with his second there to Epicenter, who ran a track-record 1:54.38 for 1 3/16 miles. In this case, making such a dramatic improvement you have to ask, was it due to the addition of blinkers? BloodHorse news editor Byron King presents his latest Derby Dozen for 2022, with a look at his leading contenders for the Kentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserve on May 7. Read More, Yes, Virginia, there is still a Derby Dozen, as we have been informed that sponsor Shadwell wants to keep it going right up until the week of the Arkansas Derby, so if anyone has any poems, songs, short stories, or any limericks and one-liners they wish to share, send them in. All comments and debates are welcome, so let's hear your thoughts, either on Facebook or on the blog,. He was always in perfect position in the Santa Anita Derby, stalking a fast pace set by Rock Your World, but when the winner accelerated on the far turn he could not match strides with him, and like in the San Felipe he got the best of Dream Shake in the final furlong for second. His sons are running amok on the Derby trail and you just never know how far they want to go. Horses have bad days for various reasons. There is no doubt this colt is coming into his own at the right time. After setting a wicked pace, he seemed to get stronger the farther he went, running through the wire and opening up at least 15 lengths on the gallop-out. 5. Please read Disclaimer Page for copyright information. That those fractions took nothing out of him and he galloped out in another area code tells you all you need to know about this colt. That recent victory at a mile, coupled with a route pedigree and a 2-for-3 overall record, suggests he should fare well in future two-turn attempts. Lots of questions to be answered and lots to talk about. Triple Crown Winners, 2023 Santa Anita Handicap Cheat Sheet: Get to Know the Horses, Mike Repole Chats Racing Friends Becoming Family, Champion Forte's Return, Winning Belmont Stakes, From Barbershop to Backstretch: Real Players Sharing Unique Horse Racing Stories. These are trademarks or registered trademarks of their respective companies.This website is not owned, affiliated with, funded, or in any way associated with the property operators and shopping malls/centers owners. He is certainly consistent and he has been running in top company all year, but he has yet to show he has enough weapons to win the Kentucky Derby. He does need to continue to move forward and improve his Thoro-Graph numbers, but I doubt there is anyone who believes that wont happen. Yes he will have to work out a trip and get through the big field, which will require some luck, and closers have not won many Derbys in the last 10 years, but sometimes you cant ignore what is right in front of you, and if you leave him out and he wins you will look back to his sensational :35 2/5 final three-eighths and :11 4/5 final eighth in the Wood Memorial, and his whopping 121 late pace figure on Brisnet and realize too late that he was touting you big-time and you ignored it. Working inside stablemate Pioneer of Medina in his final Derby drill he was doing everything well within himself and was just gliding over the ground. Whenever stakes are carded, such as this years version of the Belmont Stakes (G1), he will be ready, having remained in steady training, breezing five furlongs in Tiz the Law remains on top of the Derby Dozen, as much of his competition prepares for the divisions of the Arkansas Derby. As I concluded in last weeks comment, He could be special and we very well may be seeing a huge breakout performance on Saturday. That we did. So, now with only four weeks to the Derby here is the roster that has been assembledwith even more question marks. The usual list of horses who have already established themselves and a separate list in Knocking on the Door comprised of late developers who have only competed in maiden and allowance races and have not yet faced stakes We're going to focus a little more on speed ratings that we follow to detect patterns that could suggest where these horses might be on the first Saturday in September. HELIUM Can we call him 13A as part of the Derby Bakers Dozen? He has been moving with great authority, especially in his six-furlong work in 1:12 1/5 in company, in which drew clear from his workmate and then galloped out another eighth in :12 2/5 to complete the seven furlongs in a sprightly 1:24 3/5. That is because I dont know how he wants to run, how fast he really is, and most important how high his ceiling is. Panadol, who was a late Triple Crown nominee, would be the natural pacesetter. But it was a big step up for him and he still was good enough to finish second to White Abarrio, beaten only 1 lengths, despite hitting the side of the gate at the break. Not many people are talking about him, partly because of the ridiculously slow closing fractions and mundane final time of the Florida Derby that still has not been corrected and doing all his racing and training at Gulfstream. Whenever stakes are carded, such as this years version of the Belmont Stakes (G1), he will be ready, having remained in steady training, breezing five furlongs in Tiz the Law remains on top of the Derby Dozen, as much of his competition prepares for the divisions of the Arkansas Derby. He is maturing physically, and being by Tiznow, his most powerful weapon appears to be tenacity and the ability to not let horses get by him in the stretch. Triple Crown Winners from Sir Barton to Justify, Black History Month: Shining a Spotlight on Notable African American Jockeys, Preakness Quick Sheet: Get to Know the 2021 Preakness Horses, Get to Know All 13 U.S. We will also touch on the latest Future Wager and see who might be the overlays come September. But its a long year and he has a bright future. Even at age 89, Ron is out at the track every morning unless Im able to lasso him in, Debbie continued. Zandon has been pure poetry out on the track whether galloping or working, or just his overall presence. He kept on determinedly, but all that ground loss eventually took its toll. Sign up for our free weekly email newsletters and alerts, filled with race previews and results, news of the week, or breaking news. And he is one of few Derby horses who works by himself. This is so incredible to be able to breed a horse like this, Debbie said. The field for the 2022 Blue Grass Stakes rounds the first turn at Keeneland on April 9. He has proven that was no fluke, and like Essential Quality he can beat you from anywhere on the track. His runner-up finish was a fine effort, though I would have liked to have seen him switch leads down the stretch. Though he is more experienced than Taiba, it is not by a whole lot. And for those who follow it, he is now the only one among the Derby hopefuls to earn a 100 Beyer this year. But Casse got him to run much more professionally and he was able to carry his speed farther than one might have thought at that point in his career. Although his Ragozin and Thoro-Graph numbers were career bests and he is progressing in his overall development, Stidham doesnt want to force him into the Derby. Xbtv.com video shows both horses being noticeably warm in the South Florida weather. 2 thumbs up. Copyright 20042023 Yelp Inc. Yelp, , and related marks are registered trademarks of Yelp. Read More, The first Derby Dozen for 2020 finds Dennis' Moment on top. He outkicked Zandon for the place after the latter had rallied past him in early stretch, though both were only just a little bit ahead of longshot fourth-place finisherPioneer of Medinaat the wire. With only one easy victory in the slop in five months he needed to have a tough race, and what made this a perfect prep is that he fought hard to beat a very good horse by a neck and most important there was a 5 1/2-length gap back to the third horse. on Monday, April 5th, 2021 at 11:21 am and is filed under Derby Rankings. Max Player Returns at Oaklawn After Quiet 2022 Campaign; One of these hes going to squeeze his way in, but I would think it will be against lesser company in a smaller field. Byron King's Top 12 on the Road to the Kentucky Derby, presented by Spendthrift Farm. 5 Mo Donegal (Todd Pletcher, Uncle Mo Callingmissbrown, by Pulpit). He was given a cue to switch leads by his rider and did so in a bullet five-furlong solo workout :58.62 at Gulfstream this past Saturday. He looked good at Tampa Bay Downs, but this is a different story, and we know trainer Brian Lynch was not keen on this path. But seriously, we will try to provide some semblance of a Derby Dozen, although there is not much that would alter the Top And it looks as if those fractions are going to stay. The Japanese, with their unique training methods, have arrived and we better accept them. Im sure many will still look at him as the deserving favorite, feeling he will put himself in perfect position just off the pace while Zandon will have to work out a trip from farther back. So again like Smile Happy I am willing to overlook the fact that he was passed in the final eighth and will benefit a great deal from that race coming off a layoff. His race in the Holy Bull was similar to Zandon's in the Risen Star in that he dug a hole for himself, caught the eye with a threatening second turn rally, and then flattened in the lane. He also was dismissed and the result was a $51 payoff at Churchill Downs on a horse who was the Derby favorite one race earlier. Both horses actually turned in the same time of :48 for the half; they just did it in different ways. Read More, We're going to focus a little more on speed ratings that we follow to detect patterns that could suggest where these horses might be on the first Saturday in September. It's been a fun ride with lots of twists and turns and interesting back stories. Copyright 2016 Blood-Horse LLC. Delivery & Pickup Options - 86 reviews of Yomie Yogurt "We loved it!!! He is not a horse who is going to wow a lot people with his brilliance, but he has drawn off in the final eighth to win by open lengths in all four of his victories and somehow managed to get a sensational 1 on Thoro-Graph in the Florida Derby, the second fastest number run by a 3-year-old, topped only by Taibas Santa Anita Derby. 7. Triple Crown Winners, 2023 Kentucky Derby Trail: Three Heating Up, Three Cooling Down for March 1, Mike Repole Chats Racing Friends Becoming Family, Champion Forte's Return, Winning Belmont Stakes, From Barbershop to Backstretch: Real Players Sharing Unique Horse Racing Stories. Read More, Find out which horse from the Louisiana Derby is ranked highest on this week's Derby Dozen. Copyright 2016 Blood-Horse LLC. Rebel Stakes winner UN OJO will have his following and he does have a good closing kick, but all his numbers say he is just too slow. Apparently they charge me three timesmore, Stopped in for some tamales since the reviews on this place were good.more, Tapas/Small PlatesAmerican (New)Mexican$$, Damn that mole took me back to Christmas time w the fam when my madrina makes tamales de mole.more, Okay I was recommended this place years ago because my best friend said that the red sauce had good flavor and was super hot (not too common because it's usually one or the other) somore. But this was a wacky race with the first three-quarters run in 1:12 and the deep closers Rombauer and Keepmeinmind running third and fourth only two lengths off the lead. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. Watching him work an effortless five furlongs in 1:00 2/5 with such long fluid strides you can understand all the praise hes been receiving. He had his first work over the Churchill Downs track, breezing five furlongs in a sharp 1:01 1/5. BloodHorsenews editorByron Kingpresents his latest Derby Dozen for 2022, with a look at his leading contenders for theKentucky Derby Presented by Woodford Reserveon May 7. He turned in another strong work, going six furlongs in 1:12 4/5 in the fog and working alone. The Derby might be a race or two too early for him, but he has to be respected. Secretariat.com 2023. Also expected are SUPER STOCK and the Dallas Stewart-trained LAST SAMURAI, who is taking a wild shot to try to get a small piece of it. After returning, jockey Umberto Rispoli had to tug hard on the reins to get him to pull up. Because there are so many new faces emerging who could be major Derby contenders by Sept. 5, there will be two rankings this week. This colt is 3-for-4 with his only defeat being a third-place finish in the Kentucky Jockey Club when he shipped for the first time and was surprisingly taken back to draft behind horses. Read More, Tiz the Law remains on top of the Derby Dozen, as much of his competition prepares for the divisions of the Arkansas Derby. Judging from the prospective field for the Arkansas Derby he should be another going into the Kentucky Derby undefeated. His granddam comes from one of the strongest European sires lines of modern times, from her sire Darshaan, who won the French Derby and was a champion sire and broodmare sire in three countries to Darshaans sire Shirley Heights, who the English and Irish Derby and sired a French Derby winner and English Derby winner in back-to-back years to Shirley Heights sire, the legendary Mill Reef, winner of the English Derby, King George, and Arc de Triomphe, whose record of six consecutive Group 1 victories stood for 30 years and who sired eight classic winners and a Breeders Cup Turf winner. He possesses a remarkable engine with numerous gears. Pointed toward a March return, last year's runaway Claiborne Breeders' Futurity winner recorded his longest breeze this year with a five-furlong move in :59.65 at Gulfstream Park Feb. 19. When a horse has been running Thoro-Graph numbers of 11 and makes a giant leap to a 3 1/2 there are several factors to consider. Social Media Policy. 1 Tiz the Law Barclay Tagg Constitution Tizfiz, by Tiznow Just when you thought Tiz the Law was shifting his gears to neutral following the Curlin Florida Derby (G1), breezing an easy :52 4/5 half-mile, he shifts back into drive with a sharp 1:00 3/5 work for five furlongs. Part of the Derby Bakers Dozen his own at the right time track every morning unless Im to. A brilliant but lightly raced and untested PREVALENCE struggle on that deep track in 22... This, Debbie continued into his own at the right time never had a tougher time deciding to! Jockey Umberto Rispoli had to tug hard on the Road to the Kentucky,. 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